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Saudi Arabia's Oil plans

In Short Saudi Arabia plans to extend oil production cuts into next year, balancing market prices and political sentiments amidst the Israel-Hamas war. What’s Going On? Amidst a volatile global scenario, Saudi Arabia is set to make a bold move in the oil market. With oil prices dipping to

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by Ludo Lugnani
Saudi Arabia's Oil plans

In Short

Saudi Arabia plans to extend oil production cuts into next year, balancing market prices and political sentiments amidst the Israel-Hamas war.

What’s Going On?

Amidst a volatile global scenario, Saudi Arabia is set to make a bold move in the oil market. With oil prices dipping to a four-month low of $77 per barrel, there's buzz that the Kingdom might prolong its significant oil production cuts. Originally a short-term measure, these cuts were part of a broader strategy by OPEC+ (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies) to stabilize the market. Now, there's chatter about extending these cuts till spring.

But why? It's not just about economics. The ongoing Israel-Hamas war is also a critical factor. There's a palpable sense of discontent among several OPEC members, particularly Kuwait, Algeria, and Iran, regarding the situation in Gaza. This sentiment is pushing the cartel towards potentially reducing output even further.

Why Does It Matter?

This situation is a complex blend of economics, politics, and diplomacy. On one hand, Saudi Arabia, which currently produces around 9 million barrels per day, has the power to sway global oil prices significantly. Their decision could either provide stability in a shaky market or trigger further uncertainty.

On the political front, there's a delicate dance. The Gulf countries are under pressure from their populations to respond to the Israel-Hamas conflict. Any overt action, like the 1970s oil embargo, seems off the table. Yet, tightening oil supplies could send a "subtle message" that resonates in both the streets and Washington DC.

This scenario puts the US, particularly President Joe Biden, in a tough spot. With a challenging re-election campaign ahead and the country's economic health under scrutiny, how the US responds to these developments could be crucial.

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